Ethereum Price Z-Score vs SMA

Z-Score &gt; 0: Price is above the 1-year SMA (potential bullish momentum)
Z-Score &lt; 0: Price is below the 1-year SMA (potential bearish momentum)
Z-Score &gt; 2: Price may be significantly overvalued—watch for possible corrections
Z-Score &lt; -2: Price may be significantly undervalued—potential opportunity for accumulation

Ethereum

Last updated: Jul 16, 2026, 08:56 PM

Ethereum Price Z-Score vs SMA: Spotting Extremes

This chart measures how far the current price is from the 1-year simple moving average (SMA), expressed in standard deviations (Z-score).

Why Z-Score Matters

Z-Score > 0: Price is above the 1-year SMA (potential bullish momentum)
Z-Score < 0: Price is below the 1-year SMA (potential bearish momentum)
Z-Score > 2: Price may be significantly overvalued—watch for possible corrections
Z-Score < -2: Price may be significantly undervalued—potential opportunity for accumulation

Z-score helps identify when Ethereum is unusually far from its long-term trend, signaling possible market extremes. Adjust the lookback window to explore different timeframes and spot overbought or oversold conditions.